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Replacing the
Aurora

Background
Intro

 A  Modest
Proposal

In Detail
Intro

Section
Index

Background  –  Aurora Alternatives  –  KHI ( Kawasaki)  P-X  Project

First to Fly –  a Kawasaki from Kobe “full of Eastern Promise”
The P-X is an ambitious Japanese replacement for JMSDF  P-3C Orions around 2010. This “Patrol Experimental” was, in part, the Japanese response to the anticipated high cost of the US MMA project.  Of  necessity, KHI  (Kawasaki Heavy Industries) took a different approach to Boeing . Whereas the P-8A is based on an existing airliner (B737), from the outset the P-X was designed for maritime patrol. [1] The prototype P-X rolled out on in July 2007, this aircraft  making  its first  flight  ( left ) on 28  September 2007.

While other jet-powered Aurora replacement type candidates are either at an airframe ‘demonstrator’ stage (P-8A) or concept only ( MPA320 ), the P-X is unique among the new designs – it has reached the hardware stage and flown on schedule against the odds. KHI discovered  that  its  prototype was assembled with flawed rivets. [2] Then they found that the prototype’s stabilizers were weak and the fuselage deformed during pressurization  –  all problems needing rectification before production.

It was feared that the first flight of the P-X might be delayed until December. P-X was also designed around a new engine type – the 50 kN class Ishikawajima-Harima  (IHI) XF-7 – which also experienced some initial teething  troubles.  There is an  element of déjà vu here — IHI also designed engines in the ’70s for the aborted PX-L project.[3] Will  the P-X have a more propitious fate ?

  Kawasaki Heavy Industries  (KHI)  P-X   —   Specifications
  Dimensions:   span: 38.0m, length: 35.0m, height: 12.0m
  Powerplant:   4 x 50 kN (11200 lbst) IHI F7-10 turbofans [4]
  Performance:   max speed: 830 km/h,  max cruise: [n/a]
  Weights:   empty weight: [n/a],  MTOW: 80000 kg
  Maximum range:   8000 km (4,320 nm, 4,970 statute miles)
  Crew:   3  x  flight crew, systems operators [n/a]
  Armament:   Torpedoes, air-to-surface missiles, bombs

Glitches appear in all completely new designs (illustrating the advantage of starting from an existing airframe and known engine type) but the P-X also faces other hurdles. The JMSDF plans to purchase 80 P-X  but, at present, the Japanese constitution doesn’t permit military equipment to be exported. It is rumoured that amendments  to  the  constitution  have been considered. Unless and until such constitutional changes are passed [5]  by the Diet, the P-X program will remain limited to the JMSDF.

[1] In this the P-X program will be the exact reverse of the P-8A. The latter is a maritime patrol derivative of Boeing’s highly-successful 737 airliner.  KHI, in contrast, built a patrol aircraft  but may offset development costs by spinning off  a future YP-X civilian airliner derivative. Update: The Japanese Ministry of Defence’s Technical Research and Development Institute site refers to the P-X prototype as a “XP-1”.
[2] One batch of  rivets from a US supplier had not been heat treated. As a result, 10,000 rivets in 161 locations had to be examined.  Many of the rivets had to be drilled out and replaced. The quick P-X repair work appears to have been at the cost of the parallel KHI C-X airlifter. The P-X was designed in parallel with this new airlifter  –  the two share flight decks  as well as some wing  and  rear fuselage components. The C-X is a tactical transport  (meant to replace Kawasaki C-1s) but could be roughly described as a twin-engined equivalent to the C-17.
[3] PX-L configuration was similar to the P-X but the designs are not directly related. JMSDF acceptance of the P-3 ended development of the PX-L. The PX-L would be forgotten were it not for a series of bribery scandals involving Lockheed and Japanese officials in the 1970s.
[4] These would  be production engines. The prototype P-X is fitted with Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries XF-7s (X = experimental).
[5] In December 2004, Japanese export regulations were eased in the National Defense Program Outline (in effect a defence ‘White Paper’). However, this NDPO was related to Japan’s interest in missile defence.  It only enabled the export of components, not of complete aircraft.